Latest opinion poll for Westminster

[Nearly Sane]

Westminster voting intention:

LAB: 43% (-1)
CON: 29% (+3)
LDEM: 11% (+1)
GRN: 5% (-2)
REF: 6% (-1)

via @OpiniumResearch, 10 - 12 May

[Nearly Sane]

Westminster voting intention:

LAB: 43% (-)
CON: 25% (+1)
LDEM: 12% (+1)
GRN: 8% (-)
REF: 6% (-1)

via @YouGov, 17 - 18 May

[Nearly Sane]

Westminster voting intention:

LAB: 44% (-5)
CON: 28% (+2)
LDEM: 13% (+2)
GRN: 6% (-)

via @IpsosUK, 10 - 15 May

[Nearly Sane]

Westminster voting intention:

LAB: 42% (-3)
CON: 29% (+1)
LDEM: 11% (+2)
GRN: 5% (-2)
REF: 5% (-)

via @Kantar_UKI, 18 - 22 May

[Nearly Sane]

Westminster voting intention:

LAB: 43% (-)
CON: 28% (-1)
LDEM: 9% (-2)
GRN: 7% (+2)
REF: 6% (-)

via @OpiniumResearch, 23 - 26 May

[Nearly Sane]

Westminster voting intention:

LAB: 43% (+1)
CON: 28% (-2)
LDEM: 12% (-1)
GRN: 7% (+3)
REF: 5% (-)

via @RedfieldWilton, 28 May

[Nearly Sane]

LAB: 46% (-1)
CON: 25% (-3)
LDEM: 10% (-)
GRN: 7% (+2)
REF: 6% (-)

via @Omnisis, 01 - 02 Jun

[Nearly Sane]

Westminster voting intention:

LAB: 44 (+1)
CON: 30% (+2)
LDEM: 12% (-)
GRN: 5% (-2)
REF: 5% (-)

via @RedfieldWilton, 04 Jun

[Nearly Sane]

Westminster voting intention:

LAB: 43% (-4)
CON: 29% (-1)
LDEM: 13% (+4)

via @DeltapollUK, 02 - 05 Jun

[Nearly Sane]

Westminster Voting Intention

📈17pt Labour lead

🌹Lab 45 (+1)
🌳Con 28 (-2)
🔶LD 9 (-2)
➡️Reform 6 (+1)
🎗️SNP 4 (+1)
🌍Gre 4 (+1)
⬜️Other 4 (+1)

2,030 UK adults, 9-11 June

(chg from 2-4 June) Savanta

[Nearly Sane]

Apparently despite the polling, there are rumours that if the by elections go ok for the Tories, that Sunak might go for an October 23 election as the worry is that with further interest rate increases likely that the mortgage increases will just make everything worse for the Tories.

[jeremyp]

Apparently despite the polling, there are rumours that if the by elections go ok for the Tories, that Sunak might go for an October 23 election as the worry is that with further interest rate increases likely that the mortgage increases will just make everything worse for the Tories.

I am torn. I really want them out of office at the soonest opportunity, but I don't want even the slightest chance of a Tory win. What do the above figures predict for the composition of the next Parliament?

[jeremyp]

I am torn. I really want them out of office at the soonest opportunity, but I don't want even the slightest chance of a Tory win. What do the above figures predict for the composition of the next Parliament?

Never mind. I found this site

https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/prediction_main.html

I say bring it on Rishi.

[Nearly Sane]

Westminster voting intention:

LAB: 44% (+2)
CON: 28% (-1)
LDEM: 11% (-1)
REF: 6% (+1)
GRN: 5% (-1)

via @techneUK, 14 - 15 Jun

[Nearly Sane]

Westminster voting intention:

LAB: 48% (+1)
CON: 26% (-1)
LDEM: 10% (-)
GRN: 6% (+1)
REF: 5% (-1)

via @Omnisis, 15 - 16 Jun

[Nearly Sane]

Westminster voting intention:

LAB: 46% (+2)
CON: 26% (-4)
LDEM: 12% (-1)
REF: 7% (+1)
GRN: 6% (+2)

via @RedfieldWilton, 18 Jun

[Nearly Sane]

Westminster Voting Intention:

LAB: 47% (+5)
CON: 28% (-3)
LDM: 10% (-3)
RFM: 6% (+1)
SNP: 4% (+1)
GRN: 4% (-1)

Via @Moreincommon_*, 15-19 Jun.
Changes w/ 12-15 May.

[Nearly Sane]

Westminster Voting Intention:

LAB: 46% (+4)
CON: 27% (-4)
LDM: 10% (-2)
GRN: 6% (+2)
REF: 5% (+1)

via @DeltapollUK, 16-19 Jun

(Changes with 12 Jun)