Vlad,
We've been through this. Certification of death-physical resurrection. It can't get any clearer than that.
First, for the people at the time there was neither certification of death nor evidence for a “physical resurrection”. What there are actually is is an account from a very small number of people long after the supposed event that a larger number of people living when superstitious explanations for all sorts of things were commonplace
thought that a resurrection had happened.
Second, even if modern techniques of certification of death, identification with DNA of the same person through the story etc were available that still wouldn't mean “resurrection”.
Still you have to eliminate even the possibility of mistake using the naturalistic tools of evidence – and regardless of the quantum of that risk, you’d have no means to compare that risk with the probability of a non-natural event.
In any case one could be an extremely improbable natural event and then it's naturalness would be as hard to prove…
Yes it would be. If you want to posit a naturalistic resurrection though, then presumably the divine baggage you attach to it falls away. All that leaves you is a (possibly uniquely) rare natural event.
…as it's supernaturality.
And again any coherence you had collapsed just there.
Cue an argument from disbelief. Ha Ha Ha.
There is no such argument. Rather the arguments that undo you are arguments in
logic – specifically the falsification of the various logic you attempt to validate your beliefs. All that leaves you with is a personal belief, which is no-one’s business but your own provided you don’t overreach into expecting that belief to be treated as epistemically anything more than a guess.
Incidentally, according to a BBC report recently about 25% of people who identify as Christians don’t believe in a literal resurrection either. This seems to me to be part of a trend: a couple of hundred years ago “goddidit” answered countless things but gradually better explanations came along so those beliefs became less and less sustainable. Increasingly it seems Christians are now realising that the ludicrousness of the resurrection story is becoming harder to sustain too, so that too is following the same fate as the rest as it changes from literal truth to allegory.
You’re just on the wrong side of history is all.