Gabriella,
I think he was talking about a hypothetical situation. If a theory came along that effectively removed the possibility that he can consciously choose his actions he would deny that theory. I don't think he meant he would discard everything in the theory, just the part that ruled out the possibility of conscious choice.
I have no idea whether he was talking about a hypothetical (and nor have you) and nor do I have any idea whether by “any theory” he actually meant “the parts of any theory” (and nor do you). These are though differences without significance to the point, which is that if he decides that a theory (either in whole or in part) “effectively removes” in his words (or would at some hypothetical time effectively remove) what he believes as an article of faith to be an “obvious truth” (albeit an unqualified and irrational one) then he necessarily “denies” (or would deny) that theory (or part of it) regardless of how robust it might be.
That’s the point – for him his faith belief trumps all, no matter the quality evidence that falsifies it. His is the very definition of a closed mind.
Disagree - see above.
Nope. See above.
I really don't know how to calculate a probability about jigsaw puzzles without some kind of historic data about those specific jigsaw puzzles. Yes I would hope more pieces would help me figure it out but it would be more a hope that I could justify my wild guesses based on the 50% I already had on the assumption that it had some connection to the missing 50%. I have no way of knowing if my assumption is a valid assumption.
You don’t need to calculate it. It’s
axiomatically true that having some parts of an explanation is more like likely to lead to further discoveries than having no parts of an explanation. Verifiable explanations are bridgeheads to further discoveries – guesses about souls and storks and pixies and the like are not. There is no part of human experience in any field that I can think of where this doesn't hold true, from jig-saw puzzles to the Large Hadron Collider.
Putting aside the difference in the way different people use the words "truths" and "reality", I just did a forum search on the word "deepest" and the results do not show AB using the word "deepest" in his posts. As far as I can tell he hasn't made any claims about deepest reality or truths. Unless you can find something and give me the post number?
First, that’s just an evasion of the correction I made. You started by upbraiding me for claiming “deepest” truths when I made no such claim, and I’ve explained several times now that I was referring
specifically and explicitly only to the status
AB attaches
to his assertions. Could you at least acknowledge your (repeated) error here and apologise for it?
Second, if you want to shift ground to the precise terminology he’s used that’s fine in any case. At various times he’s used terms like “absolute”, “ultimate”, “nothing could ever change my mind”, “I’m certain about my beliefs” etc. Indeed he’s done so when asked directly whether he’d even consider the possibility of being wrong (though to be fair he usually just ignores the question while demanding that
others accept the possibility of being wrong, something his interlocutors do in any case). If you don’t like “deepest” for some reason as a catch all description of what he says by all means think of a different word but as I’ve explained to him many times that feelings about what we experience do not necessarily provide reliable explanations
for those experiences only for him to reply with effectively, “I feel at my deepest level that my explanations are correct, therefore my explanations are correct” you’d be hard pushed to find a more accurate one.
It's choosing from what's available and what's available will always be connected to something that happened previously (a prior event) as we explain the world we live in using the concept of time. The claim about conscious acts of will as an initiator for actions doesn't rule out that the acts of will arise out of mostly unconscious brain processes.
In experiments it appears to depend on what markers are chosen to indicate activity in the brain prior to performing voluntary acts. Benjamin Libet's 1983 study observed that a marker for brain potential related to movement preparation occurs before participants report to be aware of their movement intention. Consciousness about a movement decision arises only after the decision has been made by unconscious neural processes. The validity of using that marker is controversial today, and other markers are being used in studies to try to ascertain how and when conscious considerations influence decisions and actions.
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3746176/
But
what’s doing this “choosing” though, and how? It’s an issue about logic, not about brain physiology. If you want to posit an independent decision-maker somehow interacting with the subconscious then it too would have to be making it’s decisions using a method of some kind. What is it if it’s neither determined nor random?