AB,
It is not exactly a bald assertion though.
Yes it is. If you seriously think that consciousness arising naturally is “physically impossible” then the burden of proof is all yours to demonstrate that claim. So far though, all you’ve done is to
assert it.
As yourself, BH and Stranger have shown, human investigation coupled with evidence based reasoning leads to the conclusion that every consciously driven choice we make has already been predetermined before we are consciously aware of it.
At least down to the quantum level, essentially yes.
Yet the actual conscious choices humans make would appear to contradict this conclusion by showing clear evidence of choices which are not entirely predetermined by past events.
Lots of things “appear” to be a certain way, and provided you don’t think too hard about them those appearances give us a certain view of reality. When you do think about them though it quickly becomes apparent that appearances can very often be deceptive.
So how can you be sure that human investigation coupled with your evidence based reasoning has lead you to the correct conclusion?
You can’t be “sure” of anything if by that you mean 100% certain, but you can follow the available reasoning and evidence that points to a provisional conclusion. That’s why we think that thunder for example is caused by natural forces and not by Thor.
Is there evidence which you may have ignored or dismissed for your own consciously chosen reasons?
No. There might be evidence that hasn’t been brought to “our” attention, but that’s a different matter. To my knowledge no theist – least of all you – has ever produced any evidence for his beliefs at all. That’s why they rely of “faith” – which is epistemologically indistinguishable from just guessing.
Are you confident that you can convince highly intelligent people that every consciously driven choice they make has already been predetermined before they are consciously aware of it?
Yes, but that’s not the point. Rather the point is about the burden of proof – you’re the one who asserts naturalistic consciousness to be physically impossible, so it’s entirely your job to do the convincing. So far though your just asserting it is hopeless for that purpose.
That’s your problem.