Hi Jakswan,
Alien has conceded to having confirmation bias with regards to the Bible. Confirmation bias is the mechanism for people that believe in conspiracy theories, ghosts, other religions that allow them to believe what they want to believe.
Well, to be fair we all have biases to various degrees. That’s why we have the methods of science and reason and so on to try as best we can to remove their effect on the way we understand the world. Alien though (and others) do seem to set the evidence bar quite astonishingly low when it comes to their literal readings of the various bible stories.
He tries the “how come Jesus was seen to be dead and then alive again 40 days later?” line a lot for example. There are countless ways that
could have happened which require no miracle of any kind, and it’s not the job of the sceptic to identify beyond doubt which of them was most likely to be the actual one. All that is necessary though is to show that there are lots of them – a trivially easy thing to do – and then to invite the Alien’s of this world to explain why none of them (and none of the real world possibilities we haven’t thought of either) could even have been possible, such that the only possible explanation left standing is his supernatural one.
It’s ludicrous – evidently many non-miraculous explanations could have happened, though how he’d ever manage to establish a probability scale for them to set against his supernatural alternative (how would you use a naturalistic idea like probability to assess the likelihood of a non-naturalistic event like a miracle?) is anyone’s guess. When asked he tends to a basic fallacy – “what are the chances of that then?”, ie the argument from personal incredulity – apparently unaware that, even if you could calculate the odds against the naturalistic possibilities, you’d also need a means to calculate the odds against his miracle alternative to set against them.
And even if he could somehow do that, still all he’d have is
odds. And odds are just probability indicators – the only way he could enjoy the certainty he claims for a real miracle would be to show that the odds on
all the possible naturalistic explanations are zero.
Like I said, ludicrous.
It gets worse though. All he has to go on is
stories - accounts from non-contemporaneous witnesses whose picture of the world was routinely populated with miracles, ghosts, spookiness of all kinds and so whose scepticism bar was considerably lower than ours would be. A contemporary David Blaine performing street magic would have performed every bit as credible a miracle to them as would have been a resurrection.
At best – at very best – a modern day court of law for example would rule these stories as hearsay and therefore inadmissible as evidence, and yet Alien blithely builds his whole structure of belief on such a flimsy foundation.
Then if you look at context it gets even worse still. Why would a god of the omnis wanting to make a point and we’re told sacrificing his “only son” (albeit only for a bit) do it at a time and place pretty much calculated to be the least effective way possible to convey the message? Picking a backwater province with highly credulous citizens, low literacy and everyday occurrences that were routinely thought to be miracles is about the most incompetent way of doing it I’d have thought, not least because it would identically match the memetics of any manner of other stories of supernatural derring-do. Surely the least this god could have done would have been to have provided some sort of credible evidence - a giant TV screen perpetually replaying the events of the day for example.
Then it gets worse still…
...as Christopher Hitchens used to point out, why would an omni-benevolent God pick such a morally depraved method to make his point? I might for example pay a fine you’d incurred if you were down on your luck, or I might even go to jail on your behalf if I was exceptionally generous-minded. At no time though would I be able to take way your
responsibility for your actions. That – rightly – would be yours and yours alone.
What kind of contemptible moral universe would it be if people thought they could behave as disgustingly as they wished because their responsibility for their actions would be taken away provided they just “atoned” – said the right prayers, made the right propitiations etc?
It stinks, and yet that’s what we’re asked to belief about a supposedly morally good god by the Aliens of this world.
Pah!
…and another thing (shuffles off into the night mumbling, occasionally waving arms in the air etc).