Author Topic: Arguments for and against the UK joining the strikes on ISIS in Syria  (Read 48597 times)

Shaker

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 15639
Re: Arguments for and against the UK joining the strikes on ISIS in Syria
« Reply #125 on: November 30, 2015, 03:39:13 PM »
Sounds like he is given the green light for a free vote, so looks like he will 'de facto' be supporting the air strikes. I'm surprised expected him to stick to his principles.
Why isn't he doing just that as is, though? He's still as against it as he ever was personally, but thinks that MPs should vote according to their beliefs rather than the party line - something that distinguished Corbyn's thirty-odd years as a backbencher, surely. To act otherwise would be for him to be a colossal hypocrite, and that he ain't.
Pain, or damage, don't end the world. Or despair, or fucking beatings. The world ends when you're dead. Until then, you got more punishment in store. Stand it like a man, and give some back. - Al Swearengen, Deadwood.

wigginhall

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 17730
Re: Arguments for and against the UK joining the strikes on ISIS in Syria
« Reply #126 on: November 30, 2015, 03:41:25 PM »
I think whipping on a question of war is quite odd.   I suppose it's kind of giving in to his opponents, but reculer pour mieux sauter, eh?
They were the footprints of a gigantic hound!

Outrider

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 14720
Re: Arguments for and against the UK joining the strikes on ISIS in Syria
« Reply #127 on: November 30, 2015, 03:42:43 PM »
Sounds like he is given the green light for a free vote, so looks like he will 'de facto' be supporting the air strikes. I'm surprised expected him to stick to his principles.

Which principle does he think is more immediately important - not killing bystanders in Syria, or not supporting open democracy here.

Does he tell representatives to ignore their own sentiment? He tried to encourage them to listen to their electorate; not all representatives think that they are there to parrot their constituency, some think that they have been elected for their capacity to make informed decisions on their behalf and should follow their own conscience.

He's between a rock and a hard place on this one, at least this way next time an issue comes around he'll still have a labour cabinet to try to work with. He loses this particular battle - which was going to happen anyway - but still has the possibility of winning future ones, rather than losing this one anyway and not having a force to stand up at the next.

I am curious as to why so many of the current Labour front-benchers are remaining in place, given the apparent disjunction between the intention of the broader membership and their own views.

O.
Universes are forever, not just for creation...

New Atheism - because, apparently, there's a use-by date on unanswered questions.

Eminent Pedant, Interpreter of Heretical Writings, Unwarranted Harvester of Trite Nomenclature, Church of Debatable Saints

wigginhall

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 17730
Re: Arguments for and against the UK joining the strikes on ISIS in Syria
« Reply #128 on: November 30, 2015, 03:43:56 PM »
Are they hoping to topple Corbyn, and resume their careers?
They were the footprints of a gigantic hound!

Jack Knave

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 8690
Re: Arguments for and against the UK joining the strikes on ISIS in Syria
« Reply #129 on: November 30, 2015, 04:17:34 PM »
Udayana,
I'm very torn between the two options. If we bomb their tanks, for example, they will capture aid workers and kill them. If we do nothing I can't see the islamic state just stopping where it is. It will expand more and more until it takes over countries like Israel and acquires long range missiles that could reach Europe. From the barbaric way in which it has taken territory so far I think it is quite obvious that it will attempt to do this. I think we have a duty to do something to contain, if not eradicate it. But it will mean each individual has to watch his back wherever he/she is in the world. If would make travel to the Middle East very risky.
ISIS are not going to expand their territory to that extent. This is why we should not enter the war but exit. When the Gulf States start to get it up their arses then they will fight back. It's their backyard let them deal with it; that being the Sunni/Shia issue. It is not our fight and I don't understand why some people/politicians keep saying it concerns us.

Jack Knave

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 8690
Re: Arguments for and against the UK joining the strikes on ISIS in Syria
« Reply #130 on: November 30, 2015, 04:42:37 PM »
As I said, we need assets on the ground to achieve anything defensible - simply sending bombers in on patchy information is lining civilians up to suffer for our empty gesture of vengeance.

That rather depends on which countries you get - certainly the likes of the UAE, Jordan, Egypt etc. are too invested in the outcome. Somewhat further afield though, if we could get the likes of Bangladesh, Pakistan or Malaysia to contribute, it might be helpful - non-Western, Islamic and not directly vested interests. Unfortunately, of course everyone is concerned to a degree, everyone has some interests in the region, and no-one's willing to actually cede troops to a proper, unaffiliated, UN controlled peacekeeping force.

O.
As you clearly point out there is no chance of acquiring an effective non partisan "troops on the ground" force. No one who isn't involved at this point in time wants to invite ISIS to come and bomb them, nor get themselves entangled in the Syrian/ME mess. Without this nothing decisive and productive can be done against ISIS. Anyway it isn't about a physical war but a war concerning ideas and ideology, and a gun can't kill those.

Outrider

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 14720
Re: Arguments for and against the UK joining the strikes on ISIS in Syria
« Reply #131 on: November 30, 2015, 04:49:10 PM »
As you clearly point out there is no chance of acquiring an effective non partisan "troops on the ground" force. No one who isn't involved at this point in time wants to invite ISIS to come and bomb them, nor get themselves entangled in the Syrian/ME mess. Without this nothing decisive and productive can be done against ISIS. Anyway it isn't about a physical war but a war concerning ideas and ideology, and a gun can't kill those.

Which is fine, except for all the people it condemns to torture and death at the hands of ISIS in the area, and the fact that it leaves ISIS with a secure position from which to continue plotting terrorist activities around the world.

It's questionable whether over-running them in the region would significantly hamper their terrorist activities directly - it might disrupt their command network, but that's fairly distributed anyway, and in the absence of any clear idea of their financial network it's difficult to say what it would do to that. Certainly it seems likely those are protected against direct attack.

So military activity in the area isn't about securing us, it's about a 'rescue' mission for the people in the region, if you do it at all, and that's difficult to achieve when there's no clear way to differentiate friend from foe.

If we're going to go in with any actual purpose that's what we're getting into. That, of course, isn't about ending the threat of ISIS, that's about securing the safety of the people in the area. If we want to end the threat of ISIS we've got to educate and improve the lot of the people in the area to deprive them of recruits and let them wither to a small, hardcore of fundamentalist nutbags.

They're always likely to be there, in one form or another.

O.
Universes are forever, not just for creation...

New Atheism - because, apparently, there's a use-by date on unanswered questions.

Eminent Pedant, Interpreter of Heretical Writings, Unwarranted Harvester of Trite Nomenclature, Church of Debatable Saints

Jack Knave

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 8690
Re: Arguments for and against the UK joining the strikes on ISIS in Syria
« Reply #132 on: November 30, 2015, 04:49:50 PM »
Both, would be the ideal answer!
Well, Corbyn is not whipping but going freestyle. Could he be seen as being a weak leader now?

Outrider

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 14720
Re: Arguments for and against the UK joining the strikes on ISIS in Syria
« Reply #133 on: November 30, 2015, 04:53:32 PM »
Well, Corbyn is not whipping but going freestyle. Could he be seen as being a weak leader now?

That rather depends on whether you thing strength is demonstrated by forcing people to your will or the confidence of allowing them their say and still being in place afterwards.

Personally, I see more strength in the confidence that comes from having the sort of groundswell support that means you can accept opposition from your own party than I do in such a small majority that you have to keep cracking the whip over what are ostensibly your own allies.

Of course, when Cameron faced the issue, when his own back-benchers threatened to revolt - he had the luxury of not bringing the bill to vote to avoid the situation.

O.

O.
Universes are forever, not just for creation...

New Atheism - because, apparently, there's a use-by date on unanswered questions.

Eminent Pedant, Interpreter of Heretical Writings, Unwarranted Harvester of Trite Nomenclature, Church of Debatable Saints

Jack Knave

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 8690
Re: Arguments for and against the UK joining the strikes on ISIS in Syria
« Reply #134 on: November 30, 2015, 05:16:42 PM »
Which principle does he think is more immediately important - not killing bystanders in Syria, or not supporting open democracy here.

Does he tell representatives to ignore their own sentiment? He tried to encourage them to listen to their electorate; not all representatives think that they are there to parrot their constituency, some think that they have been elected for their capacity to make informed decisions on their behalf and should follow their own conscience.

He's between a rock and a hard place on this one, at least this way next time an issue comes around he'll still have a labour cabinet to try to work with. He loses this particular battle - which was going to happen anyway - but still has the possibility of winning future ones, rather than losing this one anyway and not having a force to stand up at the next.

I am curious as to why so many of the current Labour front-benchers are remaining in place, given the apparent disjunction between the intention of the broader membership and their own views.

O.
Because, perhaps, they are scared that if they leave the front bench, and all the power positions, that the Corbynites they will take over and force through de-selection; as they know many of their members are pro Corbyn.

BashfulAnthony

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 7520
Re: Arguments for and against the UK joining the strikes on ISIS in Syria
« Reply #135 on: November 30, 2015, 05:40:11 PM »
Well, Corbyn is not whipping but going freestyle. Could he be seen as being a weak leader now?

I suspect he's got his own position in mind here.  I think he'e getting quite used to being the Leader, and he doesn't want to risk any kind of internal revolt.  I may be wrong, but he is human
BA.

Jesus said to him, “I am the way, and the truth, and the life.

It is my commandment that you love one another."

Jack Knave

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 8690
Re: Arguments for and against the UK joining the strikes on ISIS in Syria
« Reply #136 on: November 30, 2015, 05:46:33 PM »
Which is fine, except for all the people it condemns to torture and death at the hands of ISIS in the area, and the fact that it leaves ISIS with a secure position from which to continue plotting terrorist activities around the world.

It's questionable whether over-running them in the region would significantly hamper their terrorist activities directly - it might disrupt their command network, but that's fairly distributed anyway, and in the absence of any clear idea of their financial network it's difficult to say what it would do to that. Certainly it seems likely those are protected against direct attack.

So military activity in the area isn't about securing us, it's about a 'rescue' mission for the people in the region, if you do it at all, and that's difficult to achieve when there's no clear way to differentiate friend from foe.

If we're going to go in with any actual purpose that's what we're getting into. That, of course, isn't about ending the threat of ISIS, that's about securing the safety of the people in the area. If we want to end the threat of ISIS we've got to educate and improve the lot of the people in the area to deprive them of recruits and let them wither to a small, hardcore of fundamentalist nutbags.

They're always likely to be there, in one form or another.

O.
If the plan is to help the Syrian people from all this potential suffering then we ought to be going into N. Korea, if not many other places. We should have bombed China decades ago. That reason is a stupid reason. It concerns us because of oil and our rich friends in the ME region - do you really think our world leaders give a toss about the people unless their suffering makes them look overtly bad?

As you say the money and help would just change direction to some other similar group, as we are not dealing with a purely centralised opposition - it has multiple heads. So anything we do will just force it underground for it to pop up somewhere else later on.

"...when there's no clear way to differentiate friend from foe." That was the problem Vietnam had...

As for your last paragraph it is true that the motivations of those living in the West with resentment to the West have varying degrees of differing reasons for their hate for it than ISIS's motivations and so (not education) reasoning and a dialogue with them would help to negate their extreme wishes for violence. This is where the Mosques should come in to not only do this but to give their religion and God a good name; but can we trust them and are they sufficient in doing this. They have failed so far by sticking their heads in their backward, conservative, cultural ways. 

Jack Knave

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 8690
Re: Arguments for and against the UK joining the strikes on ISIS in Syria
« Reply #137 on: November 30, 2015, 05:57:14 PM »
I suspect he's got his own position in mind here.  I think he'e getting quite used to being the Leader, and he doesn't want to risk any kind of internal revolt.  I may be wrong, but he is human
Well, surprise, surprise, Corbyn is playing the long game. He needs time to entrench his power at the heart of Labour. Perhaps the emails and pressure on his MPs was to test the waters.

BashfulAnthony

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 7520
Re: Arguments for and against the UK joining the strikes on ISIS in Syria
« Reply #138 on: November 30, 2015, 05:59:38 PM »
Well, surprise, surprise, Corbyn is playing the long game. He needs time to entrench his power at the heart of Labour. Perhaps the emails and pressure on his MPs was to test the waters.

I'll have bet:  he won't last till the next Election.
BA.

Jesus said to him, “I am the way, and the truth, and the life.

It is my commandment that you love one another."

Jack Knave

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 8690
Re: Arguments for and against the UK joining the strikes on ISIS in Syria
« Reply #139 on: November 30, 2015, 06:08:01 PM »
I'll have bet:  he won't last till the next Election.
You're probably right. Unless some earthquake happens in the country's/world's situation the people won't vote for him and this will mean the moderate lot will oust him out before 2020; and probably sooner then later.

BashfulAnthony

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 7520
Re: Arguments for and against the UK joining the strikes on ISIS in Syria
« Reply #140 on: November 30, 2015, 06:21:29 PM »
You're probably right. Unless some earthquake happens in the country's/world's situation the people won't vote for him and this will mean the moderate lot will oust him out before 2020; and probably sooner then later.

Hope it's sooner.  With all the issues facing this country at present, all Labour are doing, in effect, is engaging in internal differences..  The sooner it ends, the better.  Maybe they can attempt to be an effective Opposition.
BA.

Jesus said to him, “I am the way, and the truth, and the life.

It is my commandment that you love one another."

Shaker

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 15639
Re: Arguments for and against the UK joining the strikes on ISIS in Syria
« Reply #141 on: November 30, 2015, 06:46:31 PM »
Well, Corbyn is not whipping but going freestyle. Could he be seen as being a weak leader now?
Only by the same brain donors who thought he didn't bow at the correct angle at the Cenotaph. An MP notable for going his own way and acting/voting according to his conscience for thirty something years has done the same with the MPs in his party - that's weakness? Really? As Outrider said above:

Quote
That rather depends on whether you thing strength is demonstrated by forcing people to your will or the confidence of allowing them their say and still being in place afterwards.
« Last Edit: November 30, 2015, 06:52:38 PM by Shaker »
Pain, or damage, don't end the world. Or despair, or fucking beatings. The world ends when you're dead. Until then, you got more punishment in store. Stand it like a man, and give some back. - Al Swearengen, Deadwood.

Jack Knave

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 8690
Re: Arguments for and against the UK joining the strikes on ISIS in Syria
« Reply #142 on: November 30, 2015, 06:48:46 PM »
Hope it's sooner.  With all the issues facing this country at present, all Labour are doing, in effect, is engaging in internal differences..  The sooner it ends, the better.  Maybe they can attempt to be an effective Opposition.
Better still, if not only Labour implode but the Conservative do too with the referendum and leadership fight.

Nearly Sane

  • Administrator
  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 65796
Re: Arguments for and against the UK joining the strikes on ISIS in Syria
« Reply #143 on: November 30, 2015, 07:15:07 PM »
You're probably right. Unless some earthquake happens in the country's/world's situation the people won't vote for him and this will mean the moderate lot will oust him out before 2020; and probably sooner then later.
I hadn't appreciated that this is not just a free vote,but one where Hilary Benn will be able to speak for the Labour Party against the policy of the Labour Party. In  a free vote they would normally speak as an individual MP. This is a guddle in a menoge.

Nearly Sane

  • Administrator
  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 65796
Re: Arguments for and against the UK joining the strikes on ISIS in Syria
« Reply #144 on: November 30, 2015, 07:24:00 PM »
I  am out tomorrow forming the much missed David Penhaligon's stuff them all party as the rest are doing a grand job of screwing up

Walt Zingmatilder

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 33801
Re: Arguments for and against the UK joining the strikes on ISIS in Syria
« Reply #145 on: November 30, 2015, 08:13:39 PM »
Sounds like he is given the green light for a free vote, so looks like he will 'de facto' be supporting the air strikes. I'm surprised expected him to stick to his principles.
To show leadership Cameron must now order the deselection of Tory rebels.

Hope

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 25569
    • Tools With A Mission
Re: Arguments for and against the UK joining the strikes on ISIS in Syria
« Reply #146 on: November 30, 2015, 08:18:38 PM »
Maybe they can attempt to be an effective Opposition.
Them and whose army?   ;)
Are your, or your friends'/relatives', garages, lofts or sheds full of unused DIY gear, sewing/knitting machines or fabric and haberdashery stuff?

Lists of what is needed and a search engine to find your nearest collector (scroll to bottom for latter) are here:  http://www.twam.uk/donate-tools

BashfulAnthony

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 7520
Re: Arguments for and against the UK joining the strikes on ISIS in Syria
« Reply #147 on: November 30, 2015, 08:32:01 PM »
Them and whose army?   ;)

One lives in hope!
BA.

Jesus said to him, “I am the way, and the truth, and the life.

It is my commandment that you love one another."

Outrider

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 14720
Re: Arguments for and against the UK joining the strikes on ISIS in Syria
« Reply #148 on: November 30, 2015, 09:15:58 PM »
If the plan is to help the Syrian people from all this potential suffering then we ought to be going into N. Korea, if not many other places. We should have bombed China decades ago.

Yep.

Quote
That reason is a stupid reason.

I can't think of a better reason to send armed people in with a mandate to shoot than if we don't more people will end up dead, or worse.

Quote
It concerns us because of oil and our rich friends in the ME region - do you really think our world leaders give a toss about the people unless their suffering makes them look overtly bad?

I think on some level they might, but as professional politicians they think such concerns are beneath the more important task they have, and they think that politics is almost entirely about economics with enough deference to popular ethics to engender a little support from the 'unsophisticated' public.

I wasn't giving reasons why I thought our politicians should send troops in, though, I was giving the basis on which I would send in a military response.

Quote
As you say the money and help would just change direction to some other similar group, as we are not dealing with a purely centralised opposition - it has multiple heads. So anything we do will just force it underground for it to pop up somewhere else later on.

It's not a threat that can be responded to as a 'conventional' military threat. Just as the military of 1914 was still trying to fight the colonial conflicts of the late 1800's, so this generations politicians are still trying to fight the Cold War.

Quote
"...when there's no clear way to differentiate friend from foe." That was the problem Vietnam had...

One of them, yes. The other being that the majority of the people in the region weren't on one side or the other of the conflict, but were rather caught in the middle.

Quote
As for your last paragraph it is true that the motivations of those living in the West with resentment to the West have varying degrees of differing reasons for their hate for it than ISIS's motivations and so (not education) reasoning and a dialogue with them would help to negate their extreme wishes for violence. This is where the Mosques should come in to not only do this but to give their religion and God a good name; but can we trust them and are they sufficient in doing this. They have failed so far by sticking their heads in their backward, conservative, cultural ways.

There are a range of Muslim views, and in the west the vast majority are being ignored whilst they continually protest what is being done, as they see it, in Islam's name. The problem isn't the majority of Muslims, it's the fact that the influential Muslims - the Saudi royals, the Iranian elite and the like - are sitting on the fence. They don't want to aggravate their markets in the West, they don't want to aggravate potentially violent terrorist groups, so they pretend like it's not their issue whilst funneling cash into the region to support one ragtag bunch of nutjobs or another.

O.
« Last Edit: November 30, 2015, 09:23:17 PM by Outrider »
Universes are forever, not just for creation...

New Atheism - because, apparently, there's a use-by date on unanswered questions.

Eminent Pedant, Interpreter of Heretical Writings, Unwarranted Harvester of Trite Nomenclature, Church of Debatable Saints

Outrider

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 14720
Re: Arguments for and against the UK joining the strikes on ISIS in Syria
« Reply #149 on: November 30, 2015, 09:25:39 PM »
Hope it's sooner.  With all the issues facing this country at present, all Labour are doing, in effect, is engaging in internal differences..  The sooner it ends, the better.  Maybe they can attempt to be an effective Opposition.

Yeah, hope it's sooner, because what we need to oppose the Tories is Tories in red...

O.
Universes are forever, not just for creation...

New Atheism - because, apparently, there's a use-by date on unanswered questions.

Eminent Pedant, Interpreter of Heretical Writings, Unwarranted Harvester of Trite Nomenclature, Church of Debatable Saints