More US election stuff

[jeremyp]

America will still be the basket case it's always been, with hillbillies at home with shotguns and hillbillies abroad with assault rifles.

As usual, you do not know what you are talking about: the Hillbillies at home also have assault rifles.

[L.A.]

Looks like Trump is still very-much in the running:

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/election-us-2016-35624026

I think Super-Tuesday will be quite revealing.

[Nearly Sane]

Had someone elsewhere speculate that with Jeb Bush dropping out, he might be worth a bet as being the VP candidate as the Republicans haven't won a Presidential election since 1928 without either Nixon or a Bush on the ticket.

[L.A.]

Had someone elsewhere speculate that with Jeb Bush dropping out, he might be worth a bet as being the VP candidate as the Republicans haven't won a Presidential election since 1928 without either Nixon or a Bush on the ticket.

The thing I find surprising is that (against all expectations) Jeb Bush sounded like one of the more sensible candidates, so the fact that he is out of the running doesn't bode well for the likely quality of the winner.

[Nearly Sane]

The thing I find surprising is that (against all expectations) Jeb Bush sounded like one of the more sensible candidates, so the fact that he is out of the running doesn't bode well for the likely quality of the winner.

But not a very good campaigner. Will be interesting to see where the votes of his go to, I would suspect mainly to Kasich and Rubio, with some to Cruz. The next to drop out one would think is Carson, I think those split Trump, Cruz with some to Rubio. When Kasich goes I think those are mainly Rubio.

[jeremyp]

I can almost taste my virtual pint. Trump is still rolling on. The only down side is that Jeb Bush being out will strengthen Rubio. Apparently Bush spent a lot of his advertising money on rubbishing Rubio instead of the real threat.

[Nearly Sane]

We'll see. Undoubtedly it is a big step forward for Trump, but I think it begins to clear the field for this being a two person contest. Trump is definitely going to be at the races but this is still early.


If you get your virtual pint, I think I may have to have a few real ones to cope with the outcome.

[jeremyp]

If you get your virtual pint, I think I may have to have a few real ones to cope with the outcome.

Winning the Republican nomination is not the end of the race. There might be enough insane registered Republicans to nominate Trump but I am quite confident that there are not enough insane Americans to vote him into the Whitehouse.

In fact, I'd be happier if Trump did get the nomination because I think Rubio might have a chance of beating the Democrats and any of the Republican contenders in the Whitehouse is a disaster for the World.

[Nearly Sane]

Yes, there is that though it increases the chance of a Bloomberg run and I think that could make the actual election too close to call. I agree that Rubio gives the Republicans a better chance buy i'd rather Trump had no chance.

[L.A.]

Winning the Republican nomination is not the end of the race. There might be enough insane registered Republicans to nominate Trump but I am quite confident that there are not enough insane Americans to vote him into the Whitehouse.

In fact, I'd be happier if Trump did get the nomination because I think Rubio might have a chance of beating the Democrats and any of the Republican contenders in the Whitehouse is a disaster for the World.

The problem is, it looks as if the Democrats might be making the same mistake as Labour. Bernie Sanders (fine fellow though he undoubtedly is) has used the 'S' word, he has admitted to being a Socialist and in the minds of a great many Americans that is the same as Communist!

He would be unelectable, giving the presidency to whatever freak the Republicans come-up with.

[jeremyp]

The problem is, it looks as if the Democrats might be making the same mistake as Labour. Bernie Sanders (fine fellow though he undoubtedly is) has used the 'S' word, he has admitted to being a Socialist and in the minds of a great many Americans that is the same as Communist!

He would be unelectable, giving the presidency to whatever freak the Republicans come-up with.

I think in Sanders v Trump, Sanders gets in.

[L.A.]

I think in Sanders v Trump, Sanders gets in.

No, I'd put a virtual pint on that one - I say Sanders would be unelectable against Hitler!

[jeremyp]

No, I'd put a virtual pint on that one - I say Sanders would be unelectable against Hitler!

Maybe, but we are not talking about Hitler.

[L.A.]

Maybe, but we are not talking about Hitler.

No, but if he were available, I'm sure that the Republicans would be considering him 

[Nearly Sane]

One Republican's politician view of the candidates


https://m.youtube.com/watch?feature=youtu.be&v=PyN3tDmcfvU

[Nearly Sane]

Looking very much like I will owe jeremyp a virtual pint. Super Tuesday has worked exceptionally well for Drumpf with enough support going to Rubio and Kasich to make it likely that they will continue, and there will be no candidate string enough to emerge as a clear alternative. Cruz isn't an easy character for other Republicans to rally around.

[Nearly Sane]

The numbers for possible match ups in the Dem V Rep Presidential race continue to look as if both parties will choose the candidate least likely to do well with independents, and in theory least likely to win.


http://tinyurl.com/zvq4yo5

[Nearly Sane]

Looks like Bloomberg ruling himself out.


http://www.bloombergview.com/articles/2016-03-07/the-2016-election-risk-that-michael-bloomberg-won-t-take

[Nearly Sane]

The problem of Cruz

http://www.alternet.org/election-2016/trump-most-offensive-gop-candidate-cruz-would-be-more-dangerous-oval-office

[Jack Knave]

There is talk that because of Trumps ego and his money he may stand as an independent for president if the Republican party do a nasty on him and give the candidacy to some one else.

All things being equal it looks like Clinton and Trump and both have dirt on them which will be good for a very visceral fight and mud slinging. 

[Hope]

With Bernie Sanders making a good showing in recent primaries, there are the questions over what happens at a nominating congress if 2 or more candidates arrive at the congress tied on primary votes?  Are some representatives obliged to vote for their primary winner whilst others aren't, or is it a completely open democratic vote?  Not sure that this has ever happened in the past, but surely the parties must have contingency plans should it happen.

[L.A.]

With Bernie Sanders making a good showing in recent primaries, there are the questions over what happens at a nominating congress if 2 or more candidates arrive at the congress tied on primary votes?  Are some representatives obliged to vote for their primary winner whilst others aren't, or is it a completely open democratic vote?  Not sure that this has ever happened in the past, but surely the parties must have contingency plans should it happen.

In some way, I quite like Sanders but I don't think he could ever win the Presidency, so it would be better for the world if Clinton was the Democratic candidate.

[floo]

In some way, I quite like Sanders but I don't think he could ever win the Presidency, so it would be better for the world if Clinton was the Democratic candidate.

It would definitely be better for the world if Clinton wins the presidency, it would be horrific, and then some, if Trump won.

[Owlswing]

It would definitely be better for the world if Clinton wins the presidency, it would be horrific, and then some, if Trump won.

Especially seeing as how he apparently doesn't know the difference between 9/11 and 7-11!

[L.A.]

It looks as if Trump is on-target to get the Republican nomination:

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/election-us-2016-36147183