Hi Prof,
All true I guess and points to the complexity of making judgments on the matter.
However I might come back to an early point - given that the rate of deaths and serious injuries suffered by cyclists remains really low per mile traveled (regardless of whether there are increases or decreases linked to helmet wearing) and that cycling has huge health and environmental benefits, we really should be doing all we can to get more people onto bikes. Compulsory helmet wearing is a block to that - not just for the 'I'll look stupid' reason (which I have little time for but accept it exists). Don't forget that many cities now have cycle hire schemes which are a fantastic way to get more people cycling (and perhaps the most environmentally friendly, cheap and fast way to get around many cities). Are we really going to expect people to carry their own helmet around with them all the time, in case they need to hop on a Boris bike?
I think I’d need firmer (or any) data on the numbers of people who aren’t cycling at all because they’re put off by the idea of wearing helmets. I’m not arguing for compulsory helmet wearing for cyclists in any case – just for wearing a helmet being a better idea than not given the seriousness of the potential consequences. So far as I can tell I don’t take more risks when I wear a helmet (ie, all the time), and I have no sense of vehicles passing closer to me than they used to when I didn’t wear a helmet. The friend I mentioned by the way (the amputee) did come off couple of years ago and landed on his head. His helmet split more of less from front to back – had that been his skull I hate to think what the outcome would have been.
It doesn't need to be 'all' just more.
Yes, but the amount of “more” would need to be greater than the amount of more arising from not wearing a helmet for the point to make sense.
I know this is not fully joined up, but we know that helmet wearing resulting in a change in behaviour such that drivers pass closer to bikes. We also know that HGVs and lorries are disproportionately more likely to be involved in cyclist deaths than other types of vehicle and that 'passing to close to the cyclist' is a contributory factor in accidents involving HGVs and bikes.
It is, but for the most part lorry and bus crush deaths happen not because they pass too close to the cyclists but rather because they just can’t see them at all in their mirrors, so typically will take a sharp left turn and the cyclist will be run over amidships. It’s horrible, but you can’t assume that it happens because the cyclists aren’t wearing helmets.
That depends entirely on the nature of the injuries. Not all 'serious' head injuries result in permanent brain damage. Likewise there are plenty of non-brain injuries that will result in life changing effects or death or premature death.
Yes I know, but if you’re going to make comparisons then you need some basis to do it. Do more spinal injuries (for example) actually happen because cars pass too close because the cyclists are wearing helmets and, if they do, how should we measure the effect of that against the reduction in brain injuries helmets cause when they are worn? The choice seems obvious to me (and I suspect to you) but that’s all it is – a choice. The doctor quoted in the NYT article thinks the same way too by the way.