Author Topic: Coronavirus  (Read 248262 times)

Nearly Sane

  • Administrator
  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 64378
Re: Coronavirus
« Reply #2850 on: July 30, 2020, 02:04:57 PM »


Some interesting and confusing stats here - it would appear that the 15 worst city for excess deaths in the whole of Europe has an effective increase of 0%. In addition the lack of Italy's figures make it a problem to say anything clear.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-53592881

Nearly Sane

  • Administrator
  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 64378
Re: Coronavirus
« Reply #2851 on: July 30, 2020, 02:47:30 PM »

jeremyp

  • Admin Support
  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 32530
  • Blurb
    • Sincere Flattery: A blog about computing
Re: Coronavirus
« Reply #2852 on: July 30, 2020, 03:25:26 PM »

Some interesting and confusing stats here - it would appear that the 15 worst city for excess deaths in the whole of Europe has an effective increase of 0%. In addition the lack of Italy's figures make it a problem to say anything clear.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-53592881

One thing you need to remember is that, in the long term, excess deaths will even out to 0. The UK is currently reporting fewer deaths than normal because many people who were "meant" to die in June or July actually died in April  or May. Given that COVID19 has about the same risk of killing you, if you catch it, as a normal year, you would expect excess deaths over the course of about a year to be zero (excluding indirect excess deaths).

The above probably explains why we have more excess deaths than Spain but their peak excess death rate was 2.5 times normal and ours was "only" 2.2 times normal.

A better measure would be "years of expected life lost" and I know the ONS is looking into ways of measuring that.
This post and all of JeremyP's posts words certified 100% divinely inspired* -- signed God.
*Platinum infallibility package, terms and conditions may apply

Dicky Underpants

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 4373
Re: Coronavirus
« Reply #2853 on: July 30, 2020, 05:26:32 PM »
Langage changyth notte, thou malapert knave!
I'm fairly conservative on these matters, but don't give a shit about split infinitives, for example. But I will resist the use of "I was like" to mean "I said" or "I thought" to my dying day. I may well be arrested for common assault on a bus one day, if I hear a group of teenagers using it ad nauseam
"Generally speaking, the errors in religion are dangerous; those in philosophy only ridiculous.”

Le Bon David

ekim

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 5812
Re: Coronavirus
« Reply #2854 on: July 31, 2020, 09:16:16 AM »
As replies go, that was, like, cool, Dude!

jeremyp

  • Admin Support
  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 32530
  • Blurb
    • Sincere Flattery: A blog about computing
Re: Coronavirus
« Reply #2855 on: July 31, 2020, 11:09:01 AM »
As replies go, that was, like, cool, Dude!

I thought it was like a rant.

This post and all of JeremyP's posts words certified 100% divinely inspired* -- signed God.
*Platinum infallibility package, terms and conditions may apply

Nearly Sane

  • Administrator
  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 64378
Re: Coronavirus
« Reply #2856 on: July 31, 2020, 01:22:09 PM »

Good piece on the problem of communicating changes in preventative measures.

https://www.newstatesman.com/politics/uk/2020/07/why-local-lockdowns-need-more-just-better-media-strategy

Nearly Sane

  • Administrator
  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 64378
Re: Coronavirus
« Reply #2857 on: July 31, 2020, 03:38:50 PM »
'Hands, face, waste of space'

Dicky Underpants

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 4373
Re: Coronavirus
« Reply #2858 on: July 31, 2020, 04:52:32 PM »
I thought it was like a rant.

Perhaps you don't use Bristol buses.
Anyway, to the Corona virus.
"Generally speaking, the errors in religion are dangerous; those in philosophy only ridiculous.”

Le Bon David

Robbie

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 7512
Re: Coronavirus
« Reply #2859 on: July 31, 2020, 08:57:08 PM »
I thought it was like a rant.

You mean, like, similar to a rant but not quite a rant?
True Wit is Nature to Advantage drest,
          What oft was Thought, but ne’er so well Exprest

Nearly Sane

  • Administrator
  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 64378
Re: Coronavirus
« Reply #2860 on: August 01, 2020, 12:32:48 PM »
Seen elsewhere

'In Manchester, you can be sacked for refusing to go and sit with someone in an office, fined £100 for sitting with them at home, and given a money-off deal to sit with them in a busy restaurant.'

jeremyp

  • Admin Support
  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 32530
  • Blurb
    • Sincere Flattery: A blog about computing
Re: Coronavirus
« Reply #2861 on: August 01, 2020, 12:39:07 PM »
You mean, like, similar to a rant but not quite a rant?

I was trying to be ambiguous.I was trying to construct a sentence that both exhibited the trope and was grammatically correct and meaningful.
This post and all of JeremyP's posts words certified 100% divinely inspired* -- signed God.
*Platinum infallibility package, terms and conditions may apply

jeremyp

  • Admin Support
  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 32530
  • Blurb
    • Sincere Flattery: A blog about computing
Re: Coronavirus
« Reply #2862 on: August 01, 2020, 12:43:13 PM »
Seen elsewhere

'In Manchester, you can be sacked for refusing to go and sit with someone in an office, fined £100 for sitting with them at home, and given a money-off deal to sit with them in a busy restaurant.'

If I was implementing the local lockdown in Manchester, I would be rolling back all the measures, not some of them. I would be mandating working from home where possible, closing the restaurants and reimposing the social distancing rules. I don't know why it has to be so difficult.

This post and all of JeremyP's posts words certified 100% divinely inspired* -- signed God.
*Platinum infallibility package, terms and conditions may apply

Aruntraveller

  • Administrator
  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 11093
Re: Coronavirus
« Reply #2863 on: August 01, 2020, 12:45:37 PM »
If I was implementing the local lockdown in Manchester, I would be rolling back all the measures, not some of them. I would be mandating working from home where possible, closing the restaurants and reimposing the social distancing rules. I don't know why it has to be so difficult.

^^ This.
Before we work on Artificial Intelligence shouldn't we address the problem of natural stupidity.

Nearly Sane

  • Administrator
  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 64378
Re: Coronavirus
« Reply #2864 on: August 01, 2020, 01:51:22 PM »

Udayana

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 5478
  • βε ηερε νοω
    • The Byrds - My Back Pages
Ah, but I was so much older then ... I'm younger than that now

jeremyp

  • Admin Support
  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 32530
  • Blurb
    • Sincere Flattery: A blog about computing
Re: Coronavirus
« Reply #2866 on: August 01, 2020, 03:46:38 PM »
It occurred to me the other day that it might come to this

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-53621613

This post and all of JeremyP's posts words certified 100% divinely inspired* -- signed God.
*Platinum infallibility package, terms and conditions may apply

Nearly Sane

  • Administrator
  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 64378
Re: Coronavirus
« Reply #2867 on: August 01, 2020, 03:52:02 PM »
It occurred to me the other day that it might come to this

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-53621613
See 2851

jeremyp

  • Admin Support
  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 32530
  • Blurb
    • Sincere Flattery: A blog about computing
Re: Coronavirus
« Reply #2868 on: August 01, 2020, 03:56:31 PM »
See 2851
Why would there be a debate? If it's a choice of schools or pubs but not both, we have to give priority to schools.
This post and all of JeremyP's posts words certified 100% divinely inspired* -- signed God.
*Platinum infallibility package, terms and conditions may apply

Roses

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 7990
Re: Coronavirus
« Reply #2869 on: August 01, 2020, 04:05:51 PM »
Schools are much more important than pubs, which are more than likely to spread the virus when people are too sloshed to socially distance.
"At the going down of the sun and in the morning we will remember them."

Nearly Sane

  • Administrator
  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 64378
Re: Coronavirus
« Reply #2870 on: August 01, 2020, 04:07:49 PM »
Schools are much more important than pubs, which are more than likely to spread the virus when people are too sloshed to socially distance.


This gives a good excuse to post this


https://youtu.be/ttRIz-0HWps

Nearly Sane

  • Administrator
  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 64378
Re: Coronavirus
« Reply #2871 on: August 01, 2020, 04:11:14 PM »
Why would there be a debate? If it's a choice of schools or pubs but not both, we have to give priority to schools.
Because the UK govt is deeply worried that it's lost its authority and anything they say will be ignored. So first they put up a bit of kite flying through sources hoping to get people agreeing to the schools choice.

Roses

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 7990
Re: Coronavirus
« Reply #2872 on: August 01, 2020, 04:39:44 PM »

This gives a good excuse to post this


https://youtu.be/ttRIz-0HWps

I can't say I found it particularly amusing. Do you have children?
"At the going down of the sun and in the morning we will remember them."

SteveH

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 10417
  • God? She's black.
Re: Coronavirus
« Reply #2873 on: August 01, 2020, 04:42:20 PM »
Schools are much more important than pubs, which are more than likely to spread the virus when people are too sloshed to socially distance.
More prejudice buttressed by ignorance.
I once tried using "chicken" as a password, but was told it must contain a capital so I tried "chickenkiev"
On another occasion, I tried "beefstew", but was told it wasn't stroganoff.

Roses

  • Hero Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 7990
Re: Coronavirus
« Reply #2874 on: August 01, 2020, 04:45:08 PM »
More prejudice buttressed by ignorance.

Meaning?
"At the going down of the sun and in the morning we will remember them."