Latest opinion poll for Westminster

[Nearly Sane]

Westminster voting intention:

CON: 44% (-1)
LAB: 33% (-3)
LDEM: 7% (+1)
GRN: 5% (+1)

via @OpiniumResearch, 21 - 23 Apr
Chgs. w/ 09 Apr

[Nearly Sane]

Westminster voting intention:

CON: 40% (-5)
LAB: 37% (-1)
LDEM: 8% (+2)
GRN: 5% (-)

via @IpsosMORI, 16 - 22 Apr
Chgs. w/ Mar

[Aruntraveller]

Westminster voting intention:

CON: 40% (-5)
LAB: 37% (-1)
LDEM: 8% (+2)
GRN: 5% (-)

via @IpsosMORI, 16 - 22 Apr
Chgs. w/ Mar

Can only hope it is the start of a larger shift.........

[Nearly Sane]

Can only hope it is the start of a larger shift.........

And that was before most of the latest piece of corruption to seep out.

[Nearly Sane]

Westminster voting intention:

CON: 42% (-1)
LAB: 35% (+1)
LDEM: 8% (+1)
GRN: 3% (-2)

via @SavantaComRes, 23 - 25 Apr
Chgs. w/ 18 Apr

[Nearly Sane]

Westminster voting intention:

CON: 44% (-)
LAB: 33% (-1)
GRN: 7% (-)
LDEM: 7% (+2)
REFUK: 3% (+1)

via @YouGov, 27 - 28 Apr
Chgs. w/ 22 Apr


Ffs!

[Walt Zingmatilder]

Westminster voting intention:

CON: 44% (-)
LAB: 33% (-1)
GRN: 7% (-)
LDEM: 7% (+2)
REFUK: 3% (+1)

via @YouGov, 27 - 28 Apr
Chgs. w/ 22 Apr


Ffs!

we know what part of the uk this immorality is centred on. You have full moral warrant for independence This confirms you were right all along.

[Walt Zingmatilder]

Westminster voting intention:

CON: 44% (-)
LAB: 33% (-1)
GRN: 7% (-)
LDEM: 7% (+2)
REFUK: 3% (+1)

via @YouGov, 27 - 28 Apr
Chgs. w/ 22 Apr


Ffs!

Anyone else had their faith in human nature dented by this?

[Aruntraveller]

Anyone else had their faith in human nature dented by this?

Dented doesn't begin to cover it.

[Nearly Sane]

Some move here

Westminster voting intention:

CON: 39% (-4)
LAB: 38% (+3)
LDEM: 9% (+1)
GRN: 6% (+2)

via @Survation, 27 - 29 Apr
Chgs. w/ 10 Apr

[Nearly Sane]

And another move

New poll by Opinium for the Observer shows the Tory lead over Labour has halved since last week.

Conservatives: 42% (-2)
Labour: 37% (+4%)

Leader approval ratings:

Boris Johnson: -6 (-5)
Keir Starmer +8 (+7)

Fieldwork: 28-30 April.

[Owlswing]

And another ooh er

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2020/aug/29/how-labour-climbed-26-points-to-match-the-tories-in-opinion-polls

I cannot see how the figures can be held to be accurate if they are gathered from different people each time, nor can they be accurate if they are from the same people each time and, of course, how many people were asked for an opinion would also affect the accuracy of the figures.

At least that is the way that I see it.

Owslwing

)O(

[Nearly Sane]

I cannot see how the figures can be held to be accurate if they are gathered from different people each time, nor can they be accurate if they are from the same people each time and, of course, how many people were asked for an opinion would also affect the accuracy of the figures.

At least that is the way that I see it.

Owslwing

)O(

https://eagletonpoll.rutgers.edu/how-polling-works/

[Owlswing]

https://eagletonpoll.rutgers.edu/how-polling-works/

In which case this gives strength to my supposition that the poll is of little value, being 800 to 1200 people at random!

800 to 1200 are going to tell you what several MILLION are going to do and a different 800 to 1200 each day are going to give accurate results?

Not to me they won't!

Owlswing

)O(

[Nearly Sane]

In which case this gives strength to my supposition that the poll is of little value, being 800 to 1200 people at random!

800 to 1200 are going to tell you what several MILLION are going to do and a different 800 to 1200 each day are going to give accurate results?

Not to me they won't!

Owlswing

)O(

And yet it does. You are just indulging in the incredulity fallacy.

[Owlswing]

 And yet it does. You are just indulging in the incredulity fallacy.

Only because you want it to.

And I wouldn't know an incredulity fallacy if it ran up behind me and bit me on the arse!

This kind of publicity seems to me to be an attempt to get people to think "Oh Fuck! Look at these figures! It's not worth us voting, we're going to lose anyway!" and thus get the Lefty's in! and thus engineer a lefty win and go back to mob rule by the Unions that we've seen before.

This thread is neither "Religion" nor "Ethics", it is Politics and to me all, and I mean ALL, politicians are as corrupt as Al Capone so whoever we vote in eventually we all get fucked!

End of conversation!

Owlswing

)O(

[Aruntraveller]

Oh yes the lefty unions what have they ever done for us?

It was unions which fought for and won a minimum wage, maternity and paternity rights, pension provision, holiday and sickness entitlements. These union victories have benefited every single British person.

Just take your rabid, uninformed prejudices and look at the Tories voting record on any, ANY of these issues.

And if you think all politicians are as corrupt as Johnson you are the one that is falling into the "they're all the same trap".

To be sure if you argue for the status quo we are going to get fucked by Bullingdon Boris.

Your argument is as bad and inane and stupid as those of people who argue that all soldiers are bad on the basis of one or two examples.

[ProfessorDavey]

This kind of publicity seems to me to be an attempt to get people to think "Oh Fuck! Look at these figures! It's not worth us voting, we're going to lose anyway!" and thus get the Lefty's in! and thus engineer a lefty win and go back to mob rule by the Unions that we've seen before.

Eh - but the Tories are leading in the polls so your argument of "Oh Fuck! Look at these figures! It's not worth us voting, we're going to lose anyway!" would most obviously apply to Labour voters, hence supporting a Tory victory. You are talking non-sense I'm afraid.

In a broader sense there is an argument that the publishing of polling influences voting patterns which is why some countries ban publishing of polls in the immediate run up to an election.

[Owlswing]

It's true! Politics has broken more friendships than religion!

Except on this one subject I have had many, many friends on this Forum and will remember you all with great fondness, but a disagreement on politics tends to colour every other subject, an itch on the back of the neck that you just can't scratch hard enough to stop the bloody thing itching and sending you frigging nuts!

Going back over my history with this Forum and previously on the Beeb boards, I have enjoyed your company and your comments, your humour, and in some cases your lack of it.

Farewell! And I really mean that, I truly hope you all fare well, even including the most irritating voice on the forum! Recognise yourself, Vlad?

Owlswing

)O(

Bright Blessings, Love and Light, and may the old Ones watch over you and yours always!

 

[Nearly Sane]

Westminster voting intention:

CON: 40% (-4)
LAB: 38% (+4)
LDEM: 7% (-1)
GRN: 5% (+1)
REFUK: 3% (-)

via @RedfieldWilton, 03 May
Chgs. w/ 26 Apr

[Nearly Sane]

Labour's triumph in London, built on traditional industries


https://thecritic.co.uk/the-woodfired-brick-wall/

[Nearly Sane]

Westminster voting intention:

CON: 45% (+2)
LAB: 30% (-3)
GRN: 8% (+2)
LDEM: 7% (-)
REFUK: 2% (-1)

via @YouGov
Chgs. w/ 05 May

[Nearly Sane]

Voting intention poll:

CON: 43% (-2)
LAB: 30% (-3)
LD: 11% (-1)
GRN: 9% (+6)
REF: 2% (-)



 seat estimate
CON: 386 (+21)
LAB: 172 (-31)
SNP: 58 (+10)
LD: 9 (-2)
GRN: 2 (+1)
OTH: 23 (+1)

Tory majority of 122 seats.

Via @FindoutnowUK / @ElectCalculus (+/- since 2019)

[Nearly Sane]

Westminster voting intention:

CON: 42% (-3)
LAB: 33% (-1)
LDEM: 10% (+2)
GRN: 6% (+1)

via @RedfieldWilton, 17 May
Chgs. w/ 10 May

[Walt Zingmatilder]

.

Farewell! And I really mean that, I truly hope you all fare well, even including the most irritating voice on the forum! Recognise yourself, Vlad?

Owlswing

Thanks for that, take care of yourself and haste ye back, ya hear.