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Author Topic: Holyrood Election (& political party games)  (Read 4670 times)

Nearly Sane

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Re: Holyrood Election (& political party games)
« Reply #25 on: March 28, 2021, 04:09:31 PM »
As mentioned earlier, the Women's Convenor of the SNP is now confirmed in Alba.

As, however, is Tommy Sheridan - hmmm....
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Anchorman

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Re: Holyrood Election (& political party games)
« Reply #26 on: March 28, 2021, 05:59:57 PM »
Quote from: Nearly Sane on March 28, 2021, 04:09:31 PM
As mentioned earlier, the Women's Convenor of the SNP is now confirmed in Alba.

As, however, is Tommy Sheridan - hmmm....
   
Strange combination....Sheridan's a bit of a Marmite, and the Kirkaldy MP was only recently reinstated after 'anti-Semitic' tweets......
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"for, as long as but a hundred of us remain alive, never will we on any conditions be brought under English rule. It is in truth not for glory, nor riches, nor honours that we are fighting, but for freedom - for that alone, which no honest man gives up but with life itself."

Nearly Sane

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Re: Holyrood Election (& political party games)
« Reply #27 on: March 28, 2021, 06:50:00 PM »
Quote from: Anchorman on March 28, 2021, 05:59:57 PM
   
Strange combination....Sheridan's a bit of a Marmite, and the Kirkaldy MP was only recently reinstated after 'anti-Semitic' tweets......
Sheridan is another candidate for the title of a Scottish Farage.

I think Neale Hanvey made a mistake but unconvinced he's anti semitic. The interesting thing though is both the Epqualitis and Women's Convenors, Lynn Anderson and Caroline McAllister having crossed the floor.
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Anchorman

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Re: Holyrood Election (& political party games)
« Reply #28 on: March 28, 2021, 07:42:28 PM »
Quote from: Nearly Sane on March 28, 2021, 06:50:00 PM
Sheridan is another candidate for the title of a Scottish Farage.

I think Neale Hanvey made a mistake but unconvinced he's anti semitic. The interesting thing though is both the Epqualitis and Women's Convenors, Lynn Anderson and Caroline McAllister having crossed the floor.
   




I'm not really bothered about McAlistair...I rermember she was pretty scathing about Nicola at a meeting way back in 2014; there's obviously something there beterrn them.
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"for, as long as but a hundred of us remain alive, never will we on any conditions be brought under English rule. It is in truth not for glory, nor riches, nor honours that we are fighting, but for freedom - for that alone, which no honest man gives up but with life itself."

Nearly Sane

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Re: Holyrood Election (& political party games)
« Reply #29 on: March 28, 2021, 07:47:00 PM »
Quote from: Anchorman on March 28, 2021, 07:42:28 PM
   




I'm not really bothered about McAlistair...I rermember she was pretty scathing about Nicola at a meeting way back in 2014; there's obviously something there beterrn them.
Well Sturgeon being more worried about some trans activists leaving the party rather than death threats to Joanna Cherry may be part of the reason. It is not just Caroline McAllister. If you put this just down to personality, you are missing what is going on.
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Nearly Sane

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Re: Holyrood Election (& political party games)
« Reply #30 on: March 29, 2021, 05:42:35 PM »
ISP are withdrawing standing. They were standing on the issue of gender reform/women's rights
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Gordon

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Re: Holyrood Election (& political party games)
« Reply #31 on: March 29, 2021, 07:04:10 PM »
Moderator:

This thread has been created from posts spilt from the 'Salmond denies sexual misconduct allegations' thread in that the discussion there moved towards the impending Holyrood election, and though initially there maybe some crossover this election involves wider issues so this thread has been created so that the original 'Salmond' can be used for any subsequent legal developments regarding that case.
« Last Edit: March 30, 2021, 07:49:37 AM by Gordon »
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Nearly Sane

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Re: Holyrood Election (& political party games)
« Reply #32 on: March 31, 2021, 07:22:14 PM »
Registration for the election now complete. In Glasgow on the list as opposed to the constituency we have 101 candidates, from 20 parties with 2 independents
« Last Edit: March 31, 2021, 08:12:38 PM by Nearly Sane »
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Nearly Sane

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Re: Holyrood Election (& political party games)
« Reply #33 on: April 01, 2021, 09:38:22 AM »
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Nearly Sane

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Re: Holyrood Election (& political party games)
« Reply #34 on: April 01, 2021, 01:45:00 PM »
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Anchorman

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Re: Holyrood Election (& political party games)
« Reply #35 on: April 01, 2021, 01:48:59 PM »
Quote from: Nearly Sane on April 01, 2021, 09:38:22 AM
Charmer standing


https://www.dailyrecord.co.uk/news/politics/far-right-bigot-jayda-fransen-23831178
   
......when even the monster raving loonies beat her in the sanity stakes.
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"for, as long as but a hundred of us remain alive, never will we on any conditions be brought under English rule. It is in truth not for glory, nor riches, nor honours that we are fighting, but for freedom - for that alone, which no honest man gives up but with life itself."

Nearly Sane

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Re: Holyrood Election (& political party games)
« Reply #36 on: April 01, 2021, 06:53:19 PM »
First poll including Alba - early days but not great for them.

Scottish parliament voting intention(s): Constituency: SNP: 49% (-1) CON: 21% (-) LAB: 20% (-) LDEM: 9% (+1) List: SNP: 37% (-2) LAB: 19% (-1) CON: 18% (-1) GRN: 11% (-) LDEM: 8% (+1) ALBA: 3% (+3) via @Survation Chgs. w/ 18 Mar
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Nearly Sane

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Re: Holyrood Election (& political party games)
« Reply #37 on: April 01, 2021, 07:24:11 PM »
Quote from: Nearly Sane on April 01, 2021, 06:53:19 PM
First poll including Alba - early days but not great for them.

Scottish parliament voting intention(s): Constituency: SNP: 49% (-1) CON: 21% (-) LAB: 20% (-) LDEM: 9% (+1) List: SNP: 37% (-2) LAB: 19% (-1) CON: 18% (-1) GRN: 11% (-) LDEM: 8% (+1) ALBA: 3% (+3) via @Survation Chgs. w/ 18 Mar


One analysis of that in seats

Projecting Survation 29 - 30 Mar into seats (changes vs 11 - 18 Mar / vs 2016): SNP ~ 66 (-1 / +3) Labour ~ 23 (-2 / -1) Conservative ~ 21 (nc / -10) Green ~ 11 (nc / +5) Lib Dem ~ 8 (+3 / +3)
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Nearly Sane

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Re: Holyrood Election (& political party games)
« Reply #38 on: April 05, 2021, 11:06:31 PM »
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Anchorman

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Re: Holyrood Election (& political party games)
« Reply #39 on: April 06, 2021, 09:01:27 AM »
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"for, as long as but a hundred of us remain alive, never will we on any conditions be brought under English rule. It is in truth not for glory, nor riches, nor honours that we are fighting, but for freedom - for that alone, which no honest man gives up but with life itself."

Nearly Sane

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Re: Holyrood Election (& political party games)
« Reply #40 on: April 08, 2021, 11:06:46 AM »
And another opinion poll

New Scottish Parliament poll, ComRes 2 - 7 Apr (changes vs 5 - 10 Mar): List: SNP ~ 40% (nc) Con ~ 21% (-3) Lab ~ 18% (nc) Grn ~ 9% (-1) LD ~ 7% (+1) Alba ~ 3% (+3) Constituency: SNP ~ 49% (+1) Con ~ 23% (nc) Lab ~ 18% (-2) LD ~ 6% (-2)


Seat projection

Projecting ComRes 2 - 7 Apr into seats (changes vs 5 - 10 Mar / vs 2016): SNP ~ 65 (+1 / +2) Conservative ~ 25 (-4 / -6) Labour ~ 22 (+1 / -2) Green ~ 10 (nc / +4) Lib Dem ~ 7 (+2 / +2)
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Nearly Sane

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Re: Holyrood Election (& political party games)
« Reply #41 on: April 08, 2021, 05:03:38 PM »
And a further poll

New Scottish Parliament poll, Opinium 1 - 6 Apr (changes vs 11 - 16 Mar): List: SNP ~ 44% (+2) Con ~ 22% (nc) Lab ~ 17% (-2) Grn ~ 7% (nc) LD ~ 5% (nc) Alba ~ 2% (+2) Constituency: SNP ~ 53% (+7) Con ~ 21% (-3) Lab ~ 18% (-2) LD ~ 6% (nc) Grn ~ 0% (-4) (reflects few candidates)


Projecting Opinium 1 - 6 Apr into seats (changes vs 11 - 16 Mar / vs 2016): SNP ~ 72 (+8 / +9) Conservative ~ 26 (-4 / -5) Labour ~ 22 (-2 / -2) Green ~ 5 (-1 / -1) Lib Dem ~ 4 (-1 / -1)


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Anchorman

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Re: Holyrood Election (& political party games)
« Reply #42 on: April 12, 2021, 09:20:49 AM »
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"for, as long as but a hundred of us remain alive, never will we on any conditions be brought under English rule. It is in truth not for glory, nor riches, nor honours that we are fighting, but for freedom - for that alone, which no honest man gives up but with life itself."

Nearly Sane

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Re: Holyrood Election (& political party games)
« Reply #43 on: April 14, 2021, 03:06:37 PM »

Panelbase showing Alba high enough to take some seats but mainly at the expense of SNP

https://www.believeinscotland.org/exclusive-greens-and-alba-flying-high-on-list-but-snp-majority-in-danger/
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Nearly Sane

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Re: Holyrood Election (& political party games)
« Reply #44 on: April 22, 2021, 08:56:20 AM »
Latest opinion poll shows small but significant move from the SNP, and no chance of ALBA getting a seat.
New Scottish Parliament poll, ComRes 16 - 20 Apr (changes vs 2 - 7 Apr):

List:
SNP ~ 38% (-2)
Con ~ 23% (+2)
Lab ~ 17% (-1)
Grn ~ 7% (-2)
LD ~ 5% (-2)
Alba ~ 1% (-2)
Others ~ 7% (+5)

Constituency:
SNP ~ 46% (-3)
Con ~ 25% (+2)
Lab ~ 20% (+2)
LD ~ 6% (nc)


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Nearly Sane

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Re: Holyrood Election (& political party games)
« Reply #45 on: April 22, 2021, 09:39:13 AM »
And yet Yougov in the Times.

Constituency / list (+/- vs March 19 - 22):

SNP - 49% (-1) / 39% (-7)
Tories - 21% (-3) / 22% (-2)
Lab - 21% (+4) / 17% (+2)
Green - 1% (-1) / 10% (+2)
LD - 6% (+1) / 5% (-)
Alba - - / 2%

YouGov / The Times, f/w April 16 - 20
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Aruntraveller

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Re: Holyrood Election (& political party games)
« Reply #46 on: April 23, 2021, 10:26:48 AM »
Simon Jenkins on a possible way of derailing independence. Sounds a little far-fetched to me. But then so many things that happen sound fantastical, so what do I know?

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2021/apr/22/johnson-snp-scotland-single-market-access
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Before we work on Artificial Intelligence shouldn't we address the problem of natural stupidity.

Nearly Sane

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Re: Holyrood Election (& political party games)
« Reply #47 on: April 24, 2021, 11:41:15 PM »
Latest

New Scottish Parliament poll, Survation 16 - 20 Apr (changes vs 29 - 30 Mar):

List:
SNP ~ 35% (-3)
Lab ~ 22% (+3)
Con ~ 20% (+2)
Grn ~ 10% (-1)
LD ~ 7% (-1)
Alba ~ 3% (nc)
RUK ~ 1% (nc)
UKIP ~ 1% (nc)

Constituency:
SNP ~ 50% (+1)
Lab ~ 21% (+1)
Con ~ 21% (nc)
LD ~ 7% (-2) https://t.co/VvOeqQWMJN
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Nearly Sane

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Re: Holyrood Election (& political party games)
« Reply #48 on: April 27, 2021, 09:07:08 AM »
New Scottish Parliament poll, Panelbase 21 - 26 Apr (changes vs 9 - 12 Apr):

List:
SNP ~ 36% (nc)
Con ~ 21% (-1)
Lab ~ 18% (+1)
Grn ~ 10% (+1)
LD ~ 6% (nc)
Alba ~ 6% (nc)
AFU ~ 2% (nc)

Constituency:
SNP ~ 45% (-2)
Lab ~ 22% (+2)
Con ~ 20% (-3)
LD ~ 8% (+2)
Grn ~ 4% (nc)
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Nearly Sane

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Re: Holyrood Election (& political party games)
« Reply #49 on: April 29, 2021, 11:53:59 AM »
Posted my votes yesterday. First time I have ever spoiled a ballot paper 
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