Author Topic: Human foresight  (Read 255 times)

Sriram

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Human foresight
« on: May 23, 2023, 07:08:49 AM »
Hi everyone,

Here is BBC article on human foresight (or lack of it).

https://www.bbc.com/future/article/20230518-foresight-the-mental-talent-that-shaped-the-world

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Human foresight will never be 20:20. But this does not mean that we are doomed to repeat the mistakes of yesterday.

Our minds can also recognise that many apparent human advances, motivated by our wishes for a brighter future, come with not-so-harmless consequences: forests are burning, glaciers are melting, and biodiversity is in decline. We are extracting what we want from the planet and leaving mountains of trash in return. Our litter can be found in the deepest sea trenches and the outer reaches of the atmosphere. Human activity, propelled by plots and plans, has impacted the planet so dramatically that scientists have declared a new geological epoch: the Anthropocene.

That's not to say that farsighted scientific breakthroughs have not brought many benefits too. Thanks to advances in medicine, for example, as well as in related domains such as hygiene, safety, and public health, babies born today can expect to live about twice as long on average as those born merely a century ago.

Human foresight is an incredibly powerful tool. By learning to better steer our mental time machines we can create a future worth looking forward to.

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Cheers.

Sriram

Nearly Sane

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Re: Human foresight
« Reply #1 on: May 23, 2023, 08:48:25 AM »
I think we have less and less chance of foresight telling us much at all. Greater complexities mean it's mostly guessing. In theory, AI is something that could enhance our foresight, in practice we are just guessing about that.